The Improving State of the State

“I busted a mirror and got seven years bad luck, but my lawyer thinks he can get me five.” – Steven Wright Seven years ago California was facing a severe budget crisis. The state’s expenses exceeded revenues, creating an unsustainable path for the state’s finances, which ultimately unwound with the Great Recession in 2008. By … Continued

Is It Time To Sell?

“You wish to surrender to me?  Very well, I accept.”  – The protagonist Westley in the novel The Princess Bride In the novel The Princess Bride, later made into a cult film, The Dread Pirate Roberts is not one person but several characters who successively take the same name in turn.  The arrangement thrives because … Continued

Germany Prevails – Will the E.U. be as Victorious?

Many Americans seem to have a love affair with Europe, but following several choppy years that included a long recession and a sovereign debt crisis, many investors have taken the region off their radar screen.  Without question the countries that make up the E.U. vary wildly, yet when combined they represent the largest economy in … Continued

A Return to the Old Normal

The U.S. stock market performance during 2013 can be described as nothing other than extraordinary. Not only were new highs achieved, but overall return levels were the highest in 15 years for the S&P 500 and the highest in 18 years for the Dow.  While the markets rose significantly, the underlying economic condition was less … Continued

High Frequency Trading – The Evolution of the Carrier Pigeon

“Believe me, nothing except a battle lost can be half so melancholy as a battle won.” – Arthur Wellesley, Duke of Wellington, following his victory over Napoleon at Waterloo (1815) The Battle of Waterloo is best known for Napoleon’s last stand against the British under the command of the Duke of Wellington.  While the military … Continued

Should You Go for Gold?

Few asset classes performed more poorly than gold in 2013.  But with the recent run-up in the precious metal into the start of 2014, investors are asking: is now the time to buy?  Before you start stocking your basement with bullion, however, let’s take a look back at gold’s history. Gold is notorious for long … Continued

QE∞: Bernanke Crosses His Personal Rubicon

The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn’t exist.” – Keyser Söze, from the 1995 film “The Usual Suspects” When censors first sat down and watched the movie Psycho, they deemed it to be too violent.  In response, Hitchcock reviewed with them the violent scenes frame-by-frame.  To their amazement, there was … Continued

Investment Fatigue and You: Why You Won’t Read This Article

“It is tedious to tell again tales already plainly told.” – Homer, The Odyssey The ancient Greeks were great storytellers.  That tradition continues to this day – for better and, unfortunately, for worse – as the world has witnessed over the last several years.  We fear that just as King Odysseus faced obstacles and headwinds … Continued