Sand Hill's Chief Investment Officer, Brenda Vingiello, CFA, joins Jenny Harrington on “Halftime Report” to go over their most recent portfolio moves. Brenda's commentary begins
Make Hay While the Sun Shines
Published Date : July 24, 2019
“In this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes,” claimed Benjamin Franklin. But at least with the latter matter, there can be different degrees of severity. Indeed, in some respects, we are generally living in a relatively benign tax environment these days but given the increasingly populist and progressive sentiments brewing in various quarters, this could eventually change. If so, such changes are apt to adversely affect the wealthy. From the recently and significantly increased unified Lifetime Exemption for gifts and bequests to things like regular 1031 Exchanges, to even the generally favorable long-term capital gains tax treatment, it could be that now will be looked back upon as a good time to act on multiple fronts to take advantage of such things.
Setting aside political forecasts and competing ideologies, recent history has shown both parties have contributed to present conditions, often by ignoring spending constraints while at the same time lamenting the steady rise in national debt. For example, when Democrats were last in full control, they basically maintained the relatively low capital gains tax rates that were put in place in the early 2000s by the previous administration, though adding the 3.8% Medicare surtax; and they participated in significantly increasing the Lifetime Exemption, too. Then, the recent major tax reform package under the Republicans kept this extra Medicare levy in place; and boosted the Lifetime Exemption even further—though only temporarily. In fact, this exemption is set to expire at the end of 2025 and at that point revert back to 2017 levels at half the current limits. Granted, the deficit-related Byrd Rule forced this sunsetting provision, but still, full repeal of estate and gift taxes does not appear likely anytime soon; and instead, things are scheduled to get less advantageous in due course.
As we head into an election year, in an environment where the political pendulum can sometimes swing rather quickly, there is a great deal of uncertainty around what the next few years may hold. Despite the slight increase since the early 2000s, today’s maximum capital gain tax rates are still among the lowest that they have been since World War II while a decade-long bull market has provided a beneficial tailwind. In other words, it continues to be a generally good time to sensibly and routinely rebalance portfolios and maintain targeted asset allocations and risk exposures, and not let the proverbial tax tail wag the investment dog too much. Realizing gains at these historic low rates may seem quite prescient in future years should rates again return to previous levels. Returning to the gift and estate tax front, the generous exemption amount—currently $11.4 million per individual, and double that for couples—surely promotes more timely and deliberate action, if applicable. Moreover, the potential for discounting certain assets, such as QPRTs or IDGTs, which benefit from the presently low interest rates makes proactive planning advisable. Plus, the recent related IRS proposed ruling that addresses and assuages concerns about clawbacks makes action that much more compelling.
While other more specific areas of the tax code—like typical 1031 Exchanges—are not as likely to ever quickly or drastically change, they could get limited in coming years. For example, this provision allows real property to be swapped for other “like-kind” property without any immediate tax impact, indefinitely deferring gain. But these types of benefits are not common middle-class entitlements. Instead, they are often described as wealthy giveaways, and hence they could be the target of revenue enhancement. Proactively managing any such potential opportunities might also make sense, if appropriate and timely. It is often a key goal of many families to initiate some form of inter-generational wealth transfer, and we can help examine the related options and test the wherewithal to make such things happen successfully.
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All video presentations discuss certain investment products and/or securities and are being provided for informational purposes only, and should not be considered, and is not, investment, financial planning, tax or legal advice; nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Investing in securities involves varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will be profitable or suitable for a particular client’s financial situation or risk tolerance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. Individual performance results will vary. The opinions expressed in the video reflect Sand Hill Global Advisor’s (“SHGA”) or Brenda Vingiello’s (as applicable) views as of the date of the video. Such views are subject to change at any point without notice. Any comments, opinions, or recommendations made by any host or other guest not affiliated with SHGA in this video do not necessarily reflect the views of SHGA, and non-SHGA persons appearing in this video do not fall under the supervisory purview of SHGA. You should not treat any opinion expressed by SHGA or Ms. Vingiello as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of general opinion. Nothing presented herein is or is intended to constitute investment advice, and no investment decision should be made based solely on any information provided on this video. There is a risk of loss from an investment in securities, including the risk of loss of principal. Neither SHGA nor Ms. Vingiello guarantees any specific outcome or profit. Any forward-looking statements or forecasts contained in the video are based on assumptions and actual results may vary from any such statements or forecasts. SHGA or one of its employees may have a position in the securities discussed and may purchase or sell such securities from time to time. Some of the information in this video has been obtained from third party sources. While SHGA believes such third-party information is reliable, SHGA does not guarantee its accuracy, timeliness or completeness. SHGA encourages you to consult with a professional financial advisor prior to making any investment decision.
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