As we reflect on the last eight years, various stages of the economic and market recovery have unfolded like chapters in a book. Many parts have told a predictable tale and, at various times, we have been left wondering if there would be an unpredictable twist or a surprise ending. While the story may be … Continued
Forecasting in 2016 was a tough business to be in given the wild year politically, the meaningful jump in interest rates – and rising geopolitical uncertainty broadly. It is hard to imagine the U.K. decision to leave the European Union or the U.S. election outcome making the world a more predictable place, yet each of … Continued
These were the three topics most of us were raised to believe should never be a part of polite conversation, but with a hard fought and contentious presidential election campaign just weeks away from completion, such taboo subjects are inevitably top of mind for many investors. And while every presidential cycle tests our emotions, particularly … Continued
Whether it’s the EU, ECB, FED, NAFTA, TPP, WTO, IMF, QE, ZIRP or now NIRP … the whole alphabet soup of established economic policy and international free trade seems to have come under intense scrutiny this year. While our own domestic election year politicking certainly plays an inflammatory role, we are struck by the far-reaching … Continued
When the Federal Reserve ended its stimulative bond buying program, commonly known as “Quantitative Easing”, some investors questioned whether the U.S. economy would be able to support itself without additional stimulus. Since that time, the economy has continued to grow, albeit at a slow pace, and global equity markets have slogged through a volatile period … Continued
The British Are Leaving! The British Are Leaving! Following months of debate on the potential impact and ramifications of membership in the European Union, the people of the United Kingdom voted last night to ‘leave’ in a historic referendum. Global markets have responded significantly to the downside, a move exacerbated by poorly interpreted polling data … Continued